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Publications

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Forthcoming

The No Alternatives Argument (with Richard Dawid and Jan Sprenger). To appear in The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science. Advanced access here. For a discussion of this paper in the Guardian blog, click here. For a discussion of this paper in the OUP blog, click here

Models, Mechanisms and Coherence (with Matteo Colombo and
Robert van Iersel). To appear in The British Journal for the Philosophy of Science.

Why Are there Descriptive Norms? Because We Looked for Them (with Ryan Muldoon and
Chiara Lisciandra). To appear in Synthese.

Imprecise Probabilities in Quantum Mechanics. To appear in C. Crangle et al., Foundations and Methods from Mathematics to Neuroscience. Stanford: CSLI Publications, 2014.

A New Solution to the Problem of Old Evidence. Under review.

Bayesian Cognitive Science, Unification and Explanation (
with Matteo Colombo). Under review.

Montague Reduction, Confirmation, and the Syntax Semantics Relation (with Kristina Liefke). Under review.

Generalized Dicke States. Under review.


2014

On the Emergence of Descriptive Norms (with Ryan Muldoon, Chiara Lisciandra, Cristina Bicchieri, and Jan Sprenger), Politics, Philosophy and Economics 13: 3-22 (2014). (Journal Version)


2013

Formal Epistemology Meets Experimental Philosophy, Synthese 190:8 (2013). Special issue ed. with Chiara Lisciandra and Edouard Machery. With contributions by Mark Colyvan, Giovanna Devetag, Hykel Hosni and Giacomo Sillari, James A. Overton, Matthias Unterhuber and Gerhard Schurz, Aron Vallinder and Erik J. Olsson, and Carl G. Wagner. To read the Editorial, click here.

Models, Simulations and the Reduction of Complexity (ed. with Ulrich Gähde and Jörn Henning Wolf). Berlin: Akademie-Verlag 2013.


2012

Judgment Aggregation and the Problem of Tracking the Truth (with Jan Sprenger), Synthese 187: 209-221 (2012).

Walter the Banker: The Conjunction Fallacy Reconsidered (with Wouter Meijs), Synthese 184: 73-87 (2012).

The Future of Philosophy of Science. European Journal for Philosophy of Science 2:2 (2012). Special issue ed. with Jan Sprenger. With contributions by William Bechtel, Markus Eronen, Christopher Hitchcock, Sebastian Lutz, and James Justus. To download the Introduction, click here.

EPSA Philosophy of Science: Amsterdam 2009 (ed. with Henk de Regt and Samir Okasha). Berlin: Springer 2012.

Probabilities, Laws, and Structures (ed. with D. Dieks, W. Gonzales, M. Stöltzner, and M. Weber). Berlin: Springer 2012. 


2011

Confirmation and Reduction: A Bayesian Account (with Foad Dizadji-Bahmani and Roman Frigg), Synthese 179 (2): 321-338 (2011).

Computersimulationen in der Angewandten Politischen Philosophie - Ein Beispiel (with Claus Beisbart), in: C.F. Gethmann (ed.), Deutsches Jahrbuch Philosophie, Vol. 2: Lebenswelt und Wissenschaft. Hamburg: Meiner 2011, 1151-1162.

Mathematics and Statistics in the Social Sciences (with Jan Sprenger), in: J. Zamora-Bonilla et al. (eds.), The SAGE Handbook of the Philosophy of Social Sciences. London: Sage Publications 2011, 594-612.

Probabilities in Physics (ed. with Claus Beisbart). Oxford: Oxford University Press 2011. With contributions by Claus Beisbart, Jeffrey Bub, Craig Callender, Michael Dickson, John Earman and Laura Ruetsche, Roman Frigg and Charlotte Werndl, Carl Hoefer, David Lavis, Tim Maudlin, Michael Strevens, Christopher Timpson, Jos Uffink, and  Christian Wüthrich. To download the Introduction, click here

Handbook of the History and Philosophy of Logic, vol. 10: Inductive Logic (ed. with Dov Gabbay and John Woods). Amsterdam: Elsevier/North-Holland 2011. With contributions by N. Chater, M. Oaksford, U. Hahn and E. Heit, F. Eberhardt and C. Glymour, M. Forster, M.C. Galavotti, H. Leitgeb and R. Ortner, U. von Luxburg and B. Schölkopf, J. Joyce, M. Lange, J. Milton, A. Musgrave, I. Niilinuoto, D. Osherson and S. Weinstein, S. Psillos, J.-W. Romeijn, R. Schwarz, J. Sprenger, J. Weisberg, and S. Zabell.

Explanation, Prediction and Confirmation (ed. with D. Dieks, W. Gonzales, F. Stadler, T. Uebel, and M. Weber). Berlin: Springer 2011. 

Models and Simulations 2. Synthese 180:1 (2011). Special issue ed. with Roman Frigg and Cyrille Imbert. With contributions by Alisa Bokulich, Uskali Mäki, Christopher Pincock, Stathis Psillos, and Jan Sprenger.

Reduction, Emergence and Physics. Foundations of Physics 41:6 (2011). Special issue ed. with Giovanni Valente. With contributions by Robert Batterman, Jeremy Butterfield, Craig Callender, Dennis Dieks and Andrea Lubberdink, Jim Hartle, and Richard Healey.


2010

Who's Afraid of Nagelian Reduction? (with Foad Dizadji-Bahmani and Roman Frigg), Erkenntnis 73(3): 393-412 (2010).

Reliable Methods of Judgment Aggregation (with Gabriella Pigozzi and Jan Sprenger), Journal of Logic and Computation 20: 603-617 (2010). (Journal version)

The Weight of Competence under a Realistic Loss Function (with Jan Sprenger), Logic Journal of the IGPL. 18: 346-352 (2010). (Journal version)

Welfarist Evaluations of Decision Rules under Interstate Utility Dependencies (with Claus Beisbart), Social Choice and Welfare 34: 315–344 (2010).

Bayesian Epistemology (with Jan Sprenger), in: S. Bernecker and D. Pritchard (eds.), Routledge Companion to Epistemology. London: Routledge 2010, 609-620.

Bayesian Epistemology (with Alan Hajek), in: J. Dancy et al. (eds.), A Companion to Epistemology. Oxford: Blackwell 2010, 93-106.


Formal and Empirical Methods in Philosophy of Science (with Vincenzo Crupi), in F. Stadler et al. (eds.), The Present Situation in the Philosophy of Science. Berlin: Springer 2010, 97-98. 

Entanglement, Upper Probabilities and Decoherence in Quantum Mechanics (with Patrick Suppes), in: M. Suaraz et al. (eds.), EPSA Philosophical Issues in the Sciences: Launch of the European Philosophy of Science Association, Vol. 2. Berlin: Springer 2010, 93-103.

kohärent/Kohärenz; Kohärenz, explanatorische; Kohärenz, probabilistische, in: J. Mittelstraß (ed.), Enzyklopädie der Wissenschaftsphilosophie und analytischen Philosophie, vol. 4, Stuttgart: Metzler 2010, 250-258.

Modelle, in: H.-J. Sandkühler (ed.), Enzyklopädie Philosophie, vol. 2, Hamburg: Meiner 2010, 1627-1632.

Review of M. Strevens: Depth: An Account of Scientific Explanation (with Jonah Schupbach), Notre Dame Philosophical Reviews, June 2010.

Conventional and Objective Invariance: Debs and Redhead on Symmetry (with Sebastian Lutz), Metascience 19: 15-23 (2010). (Journal version)

Reduction and the Special Sciences. Erkenntnis 73(3). Speical issue ed. with Mark Colyvan. With contributions by Peter Abell, Teppo Felin and Nicolai Foss, Foad Dizadji-Bahmani, Roman Frigg and Stephan Hartmann, William Bechtel, Ingo Brigandt, Craig Callender and Jonathan Cohen, Kevin Hoover, Paul Teller, Panu Raatikainen, and Jack Vromen.

Formal Modeling in Social Epistemology. Logic Journal of the IGPL 18(2). Special issue ed. with Carlo Martini and Jan Sprenger. With contributions by Rogier De Langhe and Matthias Greiff, Igor Douven and Alexander Riegler, Stephan Hartmann and Jan Sprenger, Carl Wagner, Paul Weirich, and Jesus Zamora Bonilla. 

The Present Situation in the Philosophy of Science (ed. with Friedrich Stadler, Dennis Dieks, Wencelao Gonzales, Thomas Uebel, and Marcel Weber). Berlin: Springer 2010.


2009

Consensual Decision-Making Among Epistemic Peers (with Carlo Martini and Jan Sprenger), Episteme 6, 110-129 (2009). (journal version)
 

Models and Simulations. Synthese 169 (3). Special issue ed. with Roman Frigg and Cyrille Imbert. With contributions by Anouk Barberouse, Sarah Francescelli and Cyrille Imbert, Robert Batterman, Roman Frigg and Julian Reiss, Axel Gelfert, Till Grüne-Yanoff, Paul Humphreys, James Mattingly and Walter Warwick, Matthew Parker, Wendy Parker, Dirk Schlimm, and Eric Winsberg.


2008

Modeling in Philosophy of Science, in: M. Frauchiger and W.K. Essler (eds.), Representation, Evidence, and Justification: Themes from Suppes (Lauener Library of Analytical Philosophy, vol. 1). Frankfurt: ontos Verlag 2008, 95-121. Kenny Easwaran reviewed the volume for the Notre Dame Philosophical Reviews.

Modeling High-Temperature Superconductors: Correspondence at Bay?, in: L. Soler, H. Sankey and P. Hoyningen-Huene (eds.), Rethinking Scientific Change. Stabilities, Ruptures, Incommensurabilities? Berlin: Springer 2008, 107-128.

Welfare, Voting and the Constitution of a Federal Assembly (with Luc Bovens), in: M.C. Galavotti, R. Scazzieri and P. Suppes (eds.), Reasoning, Rationality and Probability. Stanford: CSLI Publications 2008, 61-76.

Nancy Cartwright's Philosophy of Science (ed. with Carl Hoefer and
Luc Bovens). London: Routledge 2008. With contributions by Daniela Bailer-Jones, Michael Esfeld, Brigitte Falkenburg, Ronald Giere, Ulrich Gähde, Carl Hoefer, Alfred Nordmann, Iain Martel, Magaret Morrison, Stathis Psillos, Julian Reiss, Christoph Schmidt-Petri, Maricio Suarez, Paul Teller, and James Woodward. Mathias Frisch reviewed the volume for the Notre Dame Philosophial Reviews.

Granger, Gilles Gaston, in: J. Mittelstraß (ed.), Enzyklopädie Philosophie und Wissenschaftstheorie, 2nd edition, Vol. 3. Stuttgart: Metzler 2008, 197-198.


2007

Judgment Aggregation and the Problem of Truth-Tracking (with
Gabriella Pigozzi), in: Proceedings of the 11th Conference on Theoretical Aspects of Rationality and Knowledge (TARK XI), Brussels 2007, 248-252.

Aggregation in Multi-Agent Systems and the Problem of Truth-Tracking (with Gabriella Pigozzi), in: Proceedings of The Sixth International Joint Conference on Autonomous Agents and Multiagent Systems (AAMAS 07), Honolulu, Hawai'i, USA, 674-676.

Bayesian Epistemology. Synthese 156 (3) (2007). Special issue ed. with Luc Bovens. With contributions by Max Albert, Branden Fitelson, Dennis Dieks, Igor Douven and Wouter Meijs, Alan Hajek, Colin Howson, James Joyce, and Patrick Suppes.

Probabilities in Quantum Mechanics. Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics 38 (2) (2007). Special issue ed. with Roman Frigg. With contributions by Guido Bacciagaluppi, Jeffrey Bub, Craig Callender, Carlton Caves, Christopher Fuchs and Ruediger Schack, Dennis Dieks, Meir Hemmo and Itamar Pitowski, Carl Hoefer and Roman Frigg, Tim Maudlin, Miklos Redei and Stephen Summers, Mauricio Suarez, and David Wallace.


2006

Models in Science (with Roman Frigg), in The Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, (Spring 2006 Edition, revised for the Fall 2012 Edition).

An Impossibility Result for Coherence Rankings (with Luc Bovens), Philosophical Studies 128, 77-91 (2006).

Modeling Partially Reliable Information Sources: A General Approach Based on Dempster-Shafer Theory (with Rolf Haenni), Information Fusion 7, 361-379 (2006).


Merging Judgments and the Problem of Truth-Tracking (with Gabriella Pigozzi), in: U. Endriss and J. Lang (eds.), Computational Social Choice 2006. Amsterdam 2006, 408-421.

Welfarism and the Assessments of Social Decision Rules (with Claus Beisbart), in: U. Endriss and J. Lang (eds.), Computational Social Choice 2006. Amsterdam 2006, 35-48.


Bayesianische Erkenntnistheorie (with Luc Bovens). Paderborn: mentis 2006. German translation of Bayesian Epistemology (OUP 2003).

Causality, Uncertainty and Ignorance. Minds and Machines 16(3) (2006).
Special issue ed. with Rolf Haenni. With contributions by Malcolm Forster, Rocio Garcia-Rotamero and Ulrich Hoffrage, Christian Jakob, Kevin Korb and Erik Nyberg, Michael Smithson, Daniel Steel, Brad Weslake, and Jon Williamson.

Coherence, Truth and Testimony (ed. with Ulrich Gähde). Berlin: Springer 2006. (Reprint of a special issue of Erkenntnis that appeared in 2005)


2005


Coherence and the Role of Specificity: A Response to Meijs and Douven (with
Luc Bovens), Mind 114, 365-369 (2005).

Why There Cannot be a Single Probabilistic Measure of Coherence (with Luc Bovens), Erkenntnis 63, 361-374 (2005).

Coherence, Truth and Testimony. Erkenntnis 63(3) (2005). Special issue ed. with Ulrich Gähde. With contributions by Luc Bovens and Stephan Hartmann, David Glass, Keith Lehrer, Erik Olsson, Tomoji Shogenji, Mark Siebel, and Paul Thagard.

A Utilitarian Assessment of Alternative Decision Rules in the Council of Ministers (
with Claus Beisbart and Luc Bovens), European Union Politics  6(4), 395-419 (2005).

Scientific Models (with Roman Frigg), in: S. Sarkar et al. (eds.), The Philosophy of Science: An Encyclopedia, Vol. 2. New York: Routledge 2005, 740-749. 


Transdisziplinarität - Eine Herausforderung für die Wissenschaftstheorie, in: M. Carrier and G. Wolters (eds.), Homo Sapiens und Homo Faber. Berlin: de Gruyter 2005, 335-343.

Normativität und Bayesianismus (with Ludwig Fahrbach), in: B. Gesang (ed.), Deskriptive oder normative Wissenschaftstheorie. Frankfurt: ontos-Verlag 2005, 177-204.

Review of P. Lipton: Inference to the Best Explanation (2nd edition) (with Lefteris Farmakis), Notre Dame Philosophical Reviews, May 2005.

Erhaltungssätze (with Klaus Mainzer), in: J. Mittelstraß (ed.), Enzyklopädie Philosophie und Wissenschaftstheorie, 2nd edition, Vol. 2, Stuttgart: Metzler 2005, 268-270.


2004

Artificial Intelligence and its Methodological Implications, in: F. Stadler (ed.), Induction and Deduction in the Sciences (= Vienna Circle Institute Yearbook 11/2003). Dordrecht: Kluwer 2004, 217-223.


2003


Bayesian Epistemology (with Luc Bovens). Oxford: Oxford University Press 2003. Branden Fitelson reviewed the book for Mind.

Solving the Riddle of Coherence (with Luc Bovens), Mind 112, 601-634 (2003).


2002

Too Odd (Not) to Be True: A Reply to Olsson (with Luc Bovens, Branden Fitelson and Josh Snyder), British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 53, 539-563 (2002).

On Correspondence, Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics 33B, 79-94 (2002).

Bayesian Networks and the Problem of Unreliable Instruments (with Luc Bovens), Philosophy of Science 69, 29-72 (2002).

Bayesian Networks in Philosophy (with Luc Bovens), in: B. Löwe et al. (eds.), Foundations of the Formal Sciences II: Applications of Mathematical Logic in Philosophy and Linguistics. Dordrecht: Kluwer 2002, 39-46. 

Kohärenter explanatorischer Pluralismus, in: W. Hogrebe (ed.), Grenzen und Grenzüberschreitungen. Putney, VT: Sinclair Press 2002, 141-150.

Review of G. Johnson: Strange Beauty. Murray Gell-Mann and the Revolution in 20th-Century PhysicsPhysik Journal 1, 236 (2002).


2001

Effective Field Theories, Reduction and Scientific Explanation, Studies in History and Philosophy of Modern Physics 32B, 267-304 (2001).

Mechanisms, Coherence, and Theory Choice in the Cognitive Neurosciences, in: P. Machamer et al. (eds.), Theory and Method in the Neurosciences. Pittsburgh: Pittsburgh University Press 2001, 70-80.

Belief Expansion, Contextual Fit and the Reliability of Information Sources (with Luc Bovens), in: V. Akman et al. (eds.), Modeling and Using Context, Berlin: Springer 2001, 421-424.

A Probabilistic Theory of the Coherence of an Information Set (with Luc Bovens), in: A. Beckermann et al. (eds.), Argument & Analysis: Proceedings of the 4th International Congress of the Society for Analytical Philosophy. Bielefeld 2001, 195-206.

How to Expand Your Beliefs in an Uncertain World: A Probabilistic Model (with Luc Bovens), in: G. Kern-Isberner et al. (eds.), KI-2001 Workshop: Uncertainty in Artificial Intelligence. Informatik-Berichte 287-8/2001. Hagen 2001. (12 pp)

Vacuum, in: H. Gründer et al. (eds.), Historisches Wörterbuch der Philosophie. Basel: Schwabe 2001, 527-530.


2000

Physik ist Grundlage der Technik und Teil der Kultur (with Jürgen Mittelstraß), in: Deutsche Physikalische Gesellschaft (ed.), Physik: Themen, Bedeutung und Perspektiven physikalischer Forschung. Bonn: DPG 2000, 185-188. English translation: Physics is a Part of Culture and the Basis of Technology,  in: Deutsche Physikalische Gesellschaft (ed.), Physics - Physics Research: Topics, Significance and Prospects. Bonn: DPG 2002, 195-198.

Coherence, Belief Expansion and Bayesian Networks (with Luc Bovens), in: C. Baral and M. Truszczynski (eds.), Proceedings of the 8th International Workshop on Non-Monotonic Reasoning, NMR'2000, Breckenridge 2000. (6 pp)

Bayesian Networks in Epistemology and Philosophy of Science (with Luc Bovens), in: D. Pearce et al. (eds.), Scientific Reasoning in AI and Philosophy of Science: Proceedings of the Workshop at the Conference ECAI 2000, Berlin 2000. (10 pp)

Review of J. Cushing: Philosophical Concepts in Physics, Erkenntnis 52, 133-137 (2000).

Review of F. Dyson: The Sun, the Genom and the Internet, Physikalische Blätter 56 (Heft 10), 69 (2000).


1999

Models and Stories in Hadron Physics, in: M. Morgan and M. Morrison (eds.), Models as Mediators, Cambridge: Cambridge University Press 1999, 326-346.

Über die heuristische Funktion des Korrespondenzprinzips, in: J. Mittelstraß (ed.), Die Zunkunft des Wissens, Konstanz: Universitätsverlag Konstanz 1999, 500-506.

Modelle (with Daniela Bailer-Jones), in: H.-J. Sandkühler et al. (eds.), Enzyklopädie der Philosophie, Hamburg: Meiner 1999, 854-859.

Kopenhagen contra Bohm - eine Herausforderung für den Realismus? (with Rainer Müller), Praxis der Naturwissenschaften - Physik, Heft 4, 12-17 (1999). 


1998

Idealization in Quantum Field Theory, in: N. Shanks (ed.), Idealization in Contemporary Physics (= Poznan Studies in the Philosophy of Science and the Humanities 64), Amsterdam: Rodopi 1998,  99-122.

Bose-Einstein-Kondensation ultrakalter Atome (with Rainer Müller and Hartmut Wiesner), in: W. Schneider (ed.), Wege in der Physikdidaktik, Band IV, Erlangen: Palm & Enke 1998, 165-183.


1997

Modelling and the Aims of Science, in: P. Weingartner et al. (eds.), The Role of Pragmatics in Contemporary Philosophy: Contributions of the Austrian Ludwig Wittgenstein Society, Vol. 5, Wien und Kirchberg: Digi-Buch 1997, 380-385.

Verfolgt die Teilchenphysik ein reduktionistisches Programm?, in: G. Meggle et al. (eds.), Perspectives in Analytical Philosophy, Berlin: de Gruyter 1997, 374-380.

The Chromodielectric Soliton Model: Quark Self-Energy and Hadron Bags (with Larry Wilets and Ping Tang), Physical Review C55, 2067-2077 (1997).


1996

The World as a Process: Simulations in the Natural and Social Sciences, in: R. Hegselmann et al. (eds.), Modelling and Simulation in the Social Sciences from the Philosophy of Science Point of View, Theory and Decision Library. Dordrecht: Kluwer 1996, 77-100.


1995

Metaphysics and Method: Strategies of Contemporary Physics from a Philosophy of Science Point of View. Konstanz: Hartung-Gorre-Verlag 1995. (182 pp; in German).

Models as a Tool for Theory Construction: Some Strategies of Preliminary Physics, in: W. Herfel et al. (eds.), Theories and Models in Scientific Processes (= Poznan Studies in the Philosophy of Science and the Humanities 44). Amsterdam: Rodopi 1995,  49-67.

Simulation, in: J. Mittelstraß (ed.),
Enzyklopädie Philosophie und Wissenschaftstheorie, Vol. 3, Stuttgart: Metzler 1995, 805-807.

Modelle und Forschungsdynamik: Strategien  der zeitgenössischen Physik, Praxis der Naturwissenschaften - Physik 1/95, 33-41 (1995).

Review of J. Gleick: Richard Feynman - Leben und Werk des genialen Physikers, Spektrum der Wissenschaft,  Juli 1995, 118-19.


1994


Review of
M. Gell-Mann: Das Quark und der Jaguar, Physikalische Blätter 50, 1166 (1994).